Monday, March 25, 2013

The retail conundrum - II


The retail conundrum - II


We find that household investors had began meaningful investment in listed equity in late 70’s at the time of FERA dilution of MNCs. Reliance in 80’s and PSU disinvestment and capital market reforms in early 90’s drew the 2nd lot of household investors. IT boom of late 90’s drew the 3rd set to listed equity. In these 3decades households invested 8-17% of their financial savings in capital market related products.

Though the household financial savings started declining from mid 1990’s, 2000 was the key inflection point. Since then household have invested more in physical asserts than financial instruments.

Our informal survey of some broker and household investors highlights multiple reasons for this trend. Some key reasons suggested were:

(a)   Fall in average age of house ownership. Higher income levels in urban areas, rise in nuclear families and rise in real estate prices has prompted people to buy houses earlier in their life cycle.

(b)   Rise in personal automobile ownership.

(c)   Rise in self owned enterprises has also apparently led to diversion of savings to physical assets.

(d)   Rise in gold prices in 2000’s has definitely contributed to the trend.

With rise in urbanization and affordability, the trend is likely to exacerbate only.




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