Notes from Vijay Gaba's Diary

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Wednesday, January 31, 2024

To be or not to be!

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“Sir, I rise to present the Budget of the Central Government for the year 1962-63. The main purpose of this Budget is to place before Parlia...
Tuesday, January 30, 2024

The fallacy of portfolio diversification

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Not putting all eggs in one basket is perhaps one of the oldest risk management techniques. In the financial investment parlance, this is co...
Wednesday, January 24, 2024

Long bond – cognitive dissonance

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I had an opportunity to meet with a group of investors last week. The discussion revolved around the present market conditions and the lik...
Wednesday, January 17, 2024

Decoupling from China

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Yesterday’s post ( China+1...rhetoric apart ) evoked a rather aggressive response from some readers. They strongly disagree with my skeptici...
Tuesday, January 16, 2024

China+1 – rhetoric apart…

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Last month, in one of my posts ( read here ), I mentioned that “From the events of the past few years, it is evident that the era of peace a...
Thursday, January 11, 2024

EM vs DM

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One of the key factors that may influence the performance of Indian equities in the current year would be how the global asset managers reba...
Wednesday, January 10, 2024

Economics vs geopolitics

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“Economic efficiency” is one of the fundamental principles of economics. An efficient economy exists when every resource is allocated in the...
Tuesday, January 9, 2024

USD five trillion in 2029

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Last week the National Statistical Office (NSO) released its first advance estimates (FAE) of the national income for the current financial ...
Friday, December 29, 2023

Crystal Ball: What global institutions are forecasting for 2024

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  Wishing all readers, a joyful holiday season and a happy new year. J. P. Morgan: Too early for a victory lap As we head into 2024, a combi...